By systematically characterizing conflict scaling, we will develop an analytical and computational framework that connects the highly detailed scales on which agent-based models work with coarse- grained phenomenological theories of conflict. An important goal is to connect microscopic, individual-level behavior with large-scale regularities measured over the ensemble of many conflicts. Success in this project will involve validation of general properties of conflict to improve a wide range of conflict predictions with modest but strategically gathered data. Thus, our project has the potential enhance understanding, prediction, and response to the outbreak of armed conflict.
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