Event

Modeling Collective Adaptation: Choosing Governance Rules Under Uncertainty

09 December 2025
Expired!
1:00 pm - 1:30 pm
Location
Library
Metternichgasse 8, 1030 Vienna

  • Attendance on site
  • Language EN

Event

Modeling Collective Adaptation: Choosing Governance Rules Under Uncertainty

When groups make decisions under uncertainty, they must learn not only about their environment but also how to govern themselves. A central trade-off is between fast but sometimes flawed leadership and slower, information-aggregating majority voting. Yet it remains unclear how people learn which governance structure works best, and how this choice depends on uncertainty.

Here we present a real-time, incentivized group experiment paired with a hierarchical reinforcement-learning model to study this process under controlled conditions. Groups of four repeatedly choose among uncertain options while also deciding whether outcomes are set by majority vote or by a leader whose quality varies. We manipulate both task difficulty and leadership quality, allowing us to cleanly separate learning, social influence, coordination costs, and governance choice. The model captures how people learn about option values and which governance rule to use.

Using preliminary data, we examine whether people show a baseline preference for one governance structure, how leadership quality shapes learning and exploration, and whether groups can still coordinate despite poor leadership. This framework provides a general experimental and computational approach for studying how leadership and voting shape group learning and coordination under uncertainty.

Please note that this is an internal talk. If you want to participate, write an email to .

RSVP

Speaker(s)

0 Pages 0 Press 0 News 0 Events 0 Projects 0 Publications 0 Person 0 Visualisation 0 Art

Signup

CSH Newsletter

Choose your preference
   
Data Protection*