Event
Method to Ensure Scale Invariance of Total Economic Systemic Risk
- 10 March 2026
- Expired!
- 1:00 pm - 1:30 pm
- Library
- Metternichgasse 8, 1030 Vienna
- Attendance on site
- Language EN
Event
Method to Ensure Scale Invariance of Total Economic Systemic Risk
Modern economic production and distribution are organized through supply chains, which can be represented as networks in which firms are nodes and supplier–buyer transactions are links. When a firm fails, its customers may reduce production because they lose an input, and its suppliers may also reduce production because they lose a buyer. If these disruptions spread to the customers and suppliers of affected firms, a local shock can propagate through the network. If your local bakery is closed, you can buy bread from another one —unless no other bakery can supply what you need; firms face an analogous situation when an input supplier is disrupted. Supplier replaceability is, therefore, a key component in quantifying systemic risk. In practice, detailed product-level substitution information is rarely available, so replaceability is typically approximated using economic sector classifications, which makes systemic-risk estimates sensitive to the degree of granularity in how economic activities are grouped.
We study how a network-based measure of economic systemic risk depends on sector-classification granularity. Using the NACE hierarchy of economic activities, we examine how aggregate systemic-risk estimates change across levels of sector detail and how these estimates can be compared consistently across scales. This provides a practical framework for comparing systemic-risk estimates at different economic aggregation levels when detailed substitution data are unavailable.